A winning streak can distort the value of a bet. A good team doesn't always...

https://shanesexpertthoughts.capitaljays.com/posts/gasperini-at-roma-how-do-tactics-change-betting-markets

A winning streak can distort the value of a bet. A good team doesn't always mean a good bet once odds shift. Take a +130 opening line that moves to -140 after wins pile up. That shift can turn a smart wager into an overpriced favorite